12 bd · 12.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 1925
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 755 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,841/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,053
Tax + insurance
−$360
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$807
Net cashflow
$622/mo
Annual
$7,461/yr
Cap rate
8.20%
Cash-on-cash
6.81%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$109,619
Investor read
This is a 3 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $391k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $207/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $384k (1.9% below list).
It's been on market 755 days — a 12% lower offer ($345k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $345k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#535 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, amenities F.
Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 182 active listings in the ZIP; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
11 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $108k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $304k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 755 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QVTK8SCEXCDDHQ
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29