2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,058 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$814/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$115
Tax + insurance
−$39
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$171
Net cashflow
$489/mo
Annual
$5,864/yr
Cap rate
32.95%
Cash-on-cash
95.20%
DSCR
5.24
1% rule
3.70%
Cash to close
$6,160
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $22k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $489 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($814 rent vs $22k).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($21k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $21k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $116 of equity ($152 loan paydown + $-36 appreciation (-0.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#270 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Caddo Parish (urban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #53 of 98 in LA (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: J. S. Clark Elementary School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #577 of 646 statewide, top 90%, 447 students, 91% FRL); Caddo Parish Middle Magnet School (math 79% / reading 93%, grade A+, #1 of 218 statewide, top 0%, 1,003 students, 23% FRL); Booker T. Washington New Technology High School (math 3% / reading 8%, grade F, #259 of 265 statewide, top 98%, 786 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 221 units permitted in Caddo Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Caddo County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 32.9% vs local median 5.6% in Shreveport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QW1W2Q1QE7Z5TD
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29