2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,265 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 274 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,227/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$965
Tax + insurance
−$115
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$258
Net cashflow
$-110/mo
Annual
$-1,323/yr
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.57%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.67%
Cash to close
$51,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $184k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-110 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $165k (10.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (33.3% below list).
It's been on market 274 days — a 12% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (33.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#974 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, cost of living B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Hadley-Luzerne Central School District (rural): math 41% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #396 of 590 in NY (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 1,132 units permitted in Saratoga County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
Saratoga County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 274 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QW7T35BFW82N3W
· Data 20 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29