3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Other
· Active
· 162 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,286/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$270
Net cashflow
$394/mo
Annual
$4,730/yr
Cap rate
11.55%
Cash-on-cash
18.77%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
1.43%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 162 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#348 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Pe Ell School District (rural): math 45% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #133 of 291 in WA (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 265 units permitted in Lewis County in 2024 (44 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lewis County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $90k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 162 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QWF7ZKB3KCNX3X
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29