2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
906 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Condo
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,674/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$813
Tax + insurance
−$196
HOA
−$450
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$352
Net cashflow
$-136/mo
Annual
$-1,633/yr
Cap rate
5.24%
Cash-on-cash
-3.76%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$43,400
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $155k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-136 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $131k (15.5% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $131k (15.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#71 in MI, #1,539 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Ypsilanti Community Schools (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #501 of 540 in MI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 166 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 996 units permitted in Washtenaw County in 2024 (492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washtenaw County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $105k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.8% in Ypsilanti — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
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