2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
840 sqft ·
Built 2009
· Manufactured
· Active
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,386/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$729
Tax + insurance
−$232
HOA
−$170
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$291
Net cashflow
$-36/mo
Annual
$-428/yr
Cap rate
5.99%
Cash-on-cash
-1.10%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$38,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-36 ($-428/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (3.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $139k (0.3% below list).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $131k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#384 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Hamilton Community Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #300 of 324 in IN (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Hamilton Community Elementary Sch (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #434 of 994 statewide, top 48%, 166 students, 48% FRL); Hamilton Community High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #325 of 369 statewide, top 91%, 186 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 45% FRL vs 30% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 209 units permitted in Steuben County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
Steuben County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 2.4% in Hamilton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
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· Data 2 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29