2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
780 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 504 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,093/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$288
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$215
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$230
Net cashflow
$269/mo
Annual
$3,228/yr
Cap rate
12.17%
Cash-on-cash
21.00%
DSCR
1.93
1% rule
1.99%
Cash to close
$15,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $269 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
It's been on market 504 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#270 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
Peoria SD 150 (urban): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #554 of 620 in IL (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 180 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 73 units permitted in Peoria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Peoria County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $55k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 5.6% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 504 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint
— Some discoloration on exterior
Minor: Landscaping
— Overgrown areas need trimming
CashFlowRE · CFR-QXEJRF4QEZF8ZY
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29