4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
2,416 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 63 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,865/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,634
Tax + insurance
−$701
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$812
Net cashflow
$-282/mo
Annual
$-3,380/yr
Cap rate
5.62%
Cash-on-cash
-2.40%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$140,616
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $502k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-282 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $452k (9.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $386k (23.0% below list).
It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($472k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $386k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#144 in WA, #2,877 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Vancouver School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #156 of 291 in WA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Felida Elementary School (633 students, 19% FRL); Thomas Jefferson Middle School (743 students, 36% FRL); Columbia River High (1,134 students, 32% FRL) — zoned schools average 29% FRL vs 44% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,547 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (1,361 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clark County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $56k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 1.5% in Felida — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($131k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29