3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 2015
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,083/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$655
Tax + insurance
−$122
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$79/mo
Annual
$946/yr
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.70%
DSCR
1.12
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$34,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $79 ($946/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $108k (13.3% below list).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $108k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#257 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Webster Parish (town): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #67 of 98 in LA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Webster Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Webster County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $76k; list at $125k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QXMENJB3NN74HD
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29