3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,224 sqft ·
Built 1932
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,871/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$336
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$393
Net cashflow
$198/mo
Annual
$2,380/yr
Cap rate
7.62%
Cash-on-cash
4.72%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $198 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#62 in MI, #1,347 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D.
Madison District Public Schools (suburban): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #502 of 540 in MI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $36k; list at $180k implies a 405% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.7% in Madison Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QY1VWF0QFKFFWS
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29