2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 9 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,359/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$285
Net cashflow
$486/mo
Annual
$5,831/yr
Cap rate
13.15%
Cash-on-cash
24.50%
DSCR
2.09
1% rule
1.60%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $85k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $486 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-2.5%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,163 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Northern Humboldt Union High (town): math 32% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #529 of 1,400 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 188 units permitted in Humboldt County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Humboldt County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-2.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Kitchen cabinets
— Severe wear and tear, likely needing replacement
Major: Bathroom fixtures
— Severe wear and tear, likely needing replacement
Major: Exterior siding
— Severe wear and tear, likely needing replacement
Major: Windows
— Severe wear and tear, likely needing replacement
CashFlowRE · CFR-QY5W1999RB6K5H
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29