Pure Series - The Pursuit Plan

Fruitland, ID 83619

$101,900F

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 900 sqft · Built — · SingleFamily · Active · 891 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,610/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,373
• Tax + insurance: −$436
• HOA: −$325
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$338
• Net cashflow: $-863/mo
• Annual: $-10,352/yr
• Cap rate: 2.34%
• Cash-on-cash: -14.12%
• DSCR: 0.37
• 1% rule: 0.61%
• Cash to close: $73,332

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $102k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-863 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $102k).
• It's been on market 891 days — a 12% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $90k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#51 in ID) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
• Fruitland District (town): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #60 of 92 in ID (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; HOA is 20% of rent.
• Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 230 units permitted in Payette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 2.3% vs local median 3.0% in Fruitland — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 891 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?