2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,392 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 312 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,131/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$307
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$448
Net cashflow
$-13/mo
Annual
$-155/yr
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.87%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-155/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $263k (0.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (19.6% below list).
It's been on market 312 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $213k (19.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ac Prep Elementary (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #941 of 1,115 statewide, top 86%, 341 students, 99% FRL); Northeast Middle School (math 4% / reading 9%, grade F, #384 of 391 statewide, top 98%, 555 students, 100% FRL); Northeast High (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #497 of 521 statewide, top 96%, 657 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 75% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 98 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 312 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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