None bd · None ba ·
4,242 sqft ·
Built 2025
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,200/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,622
Tax + insurance
−$833
HOA
−$54
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$882
Net cashflow
$-191/mo
Annual
$-2,297/yr
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.64%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$140,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $500k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-191 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-48/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $472k (5.5% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $420k (16.0% below list).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($470k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $420k (16.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#916 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, crime F, amenities F.
Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #740 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Augusto Guerra El (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 675 students, 96% FRL); Audie Murphy Middle (math 13% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,507 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 787 students, 95% FRL); Psja Memorial Early College H S (math 20% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,246 of 1,632 statewide, top 77%, 1,860 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 72% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 421 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.7% in Alamo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
CashFlowRE · CFR-QZ7DT38MX9NA0A
· Data 2 months agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29