4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,753 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 193 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,274/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$174
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$268
Net cashflow
$-7/mo
Annual
$-82/yr
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.18%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-7 ($-82/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $159k (0.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (20.4% below list).
It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $127k (20.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 88/100 on livability (#42 in PA, #233 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
Clymer Central School District (rural): math 62% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #291 of 755 in NY (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
5 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $49k; list at $160k implies a 227% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.3% in North East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QZFE8104W6QBX1
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29