3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,444 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Other
· Pending
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,205/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$253
Net cashflow
$502/mo
Annual
$6,022/yr
Cap rate
14.90%
Cash-on-cash
30.73%
DSCR
2.37
1% rule
1.72%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $502 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $451 of equity ($484 loan paydown + $-33 appreciation (-0.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#310 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
Forsyth R-III (town): math 44% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #78 of 324 in MO (top 24%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Forsyth Elem. (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #481 of 1,115 statewide, top 46%, 462 students, 63% FRL); Forsyth Middle (math 47% / reading 54%, grade C, #64 of 391 statewide, top 17%, 343 students, 66% FRL); Forsyth High (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #124 of 521 statewide, top 28%, 404 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 331 units permitted in Taney County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).
Taney County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-QZMTTN1SBF3V9Z
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29