3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,280 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Manufactured
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,471/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$208
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$309
Net cashflow
$298/mo
Annual
$3,575/yr
Cap rate
9.15%
Cash-on-cash
10.21%
DSCR
1.45
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $298 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#54 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Hazel Green Elementary School (math 23% / reading 58%, grade F, #238 of 627 statewide, top 38%, 738 students, 50% FRL); Meridianville Middle School (math 19% / reading 62%, grade F, #56 of 257 statewide, top 22%, 724 students, 45% FRL); Hazel Green High School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 1,348 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 29% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 256 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.9% in Hazel Green — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Major: bathroom fixtures
— dated and in need of replacement
Minor: exterior paint
— small shed needs touch-up
CashFlowRE · CFR-R0M8ZQ1TXFMWZY
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29