2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
850 sqft ·
Built 1961
· Other
· Active
· 122 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$858/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$88
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$180
Net cashflow
$223/mo
Annual
$2,671/yr
Cap rate
10.11%
Cash-on-cash
13.65%
DSCR
1.61
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($858 rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#86 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
Hebron 13 (rural): math 55% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #22 of 169 in ND (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Morton County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morton County population projected at +48% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $30k; list at $70k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R0T41VD6EBVQZP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29