3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,664 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,462/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$970
Tax + insurance
−$209
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$517
Net cashflow
$766/mo
Annual
$9,192/yr
Cap rate
11.26%
Cash-on-cash
17.74%
DSCR
1.79
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$51,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $766 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $185k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#272 in UT) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Washington District (urban): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #37 of 80 in UT (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Desert Canyons Elementary (510 students, 18% FRL) — zoned schools average 18% FRL vs 36% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 3,140 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (650 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→11/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R144JX5TA0H7T0
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29