2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
946 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$733/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$252
Tax + insurance
−$115
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$154
Net cashflow
$212/mo
Annual
$2,548/yr
Cap rate
11.60%
Cash-on-cash
18.96%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
1.53%
Cash to close
$13,440
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($733 rent vs $48k).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $47k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#268 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, commute F.
Borger ISD (town): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #348 of 826 in TX (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Borger Int (math 47% / reading 36%, grade F, #595 of 1,662 statewide, top 37%, 335 students, 60% FRL); Borger H S (math 27% / reading 49%, grade F, #880 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 761 students, 50% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2 units permitted in Hutchinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R3CNMD0T2ZDXTA
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29