3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,000 sqft ·
Built 2023
· Manufactured
· Active
· 27 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,366/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$592
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$287
Net cashflow
$-135/mo
Annual
$-1,615/yr
Cap rate
4.50%
Cash-on-cash
-6.41%
DSCR
0.71
1% rule
1.52%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-135 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $71k (21.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $71k (21.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#216 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Otsego Public Schools (town): math 39% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #118 of 540 in MI (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 43% of rent.
Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Allegan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 1.8% in Otsego — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R44GCN71J2K8R9
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29