3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,155 sqft ·
Built 1981
· Condo
· Active
· 354 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,020/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,199
Tax + insurance
−$516
HOA
−$1,061
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,264
Net cashflow
$-20/mo
Annual
$-238/yr
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.14%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$170,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $610k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-238/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $606k (0.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $602k (1.3% below list).
It's been on market 354 days — a 12% lower offer ($537k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $537k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#126 in FL, #1,903 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute D+, cost of living F.
Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Naples High School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #179 of 667 statewide, top 29%, 1,719 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 55% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.6%/yr); 480 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $6,020/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($117k/yr) (locally 311% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 354 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-R4MJ069JHG1VHQ
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29