3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,703 sqft ·
Built 2022
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 24 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,745/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,306
Tax + insurance
−$186
HOA
−$25
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$366
Net cashflow
$-138/mo
Annual
$-1,661/yr
Cap rate
5.63%
Cash-on-cash
-2.38%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$69,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-138 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (9.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (29.9% below list).
It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($245k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $174k (29.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#36 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, health & safety F.
Cullman County (rural): math 19% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #49 of 129 in AL (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 339 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 180 units permitted in Cullman County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.8% in Cullman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R4TSZFBB74KHP1
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29