2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,148 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Condo
· Active
· 529 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,063/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,390
Tax + insurance
−$508
HOA
−$1,271
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$643
Net cashflow
$-749/mo
Annual
$-8,992/yr
Cap rate
3.20%
Cash-on-cash
-11.04%
DSCR
0.51
1% rule
1.16%
Cash to close
$74,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $265k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-749 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $157k (40.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
It's been on market 529 days — a 12% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $157k (40.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $25k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#76 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D-, cost of living F, health & safety F.
Eagle County School District No. RE-50 (town): math 22% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #39 of 86 in CO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 41% of rent.
Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 387 units permitted in Eagle County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Eagle County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $205k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.2% vs local median 0.5% in Vail — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 529 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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