3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,094 sqft ·
Built 1952
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,194/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$251
Net cashflow
$114/mo
Annual
$1,368/yr
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.07%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$33,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $114 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (0.4% below list).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#685 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Ralls ISD (rural): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #728 of 826 in TX (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ralls El (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,052 of 4,322 statewide, top 74%, 192 students, 88% FRL); Ralls Middle (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,177 of 1,662 statewide, top 72%, 108 students, 79% FRL); Ralls H S (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #1,566 of 1,632 statewide, top 97%, 153 students, 75% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP.
Crosby County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R4XC197E0K4RRV
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29