3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,313 sqft ·
Built 1910
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,496/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,068
Tax + insurance
−$945
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,154
Net cashflow
$329/mo
Annual
$3,950/yr
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.41%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.94%
Cash to close
$163,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $585k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $165/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $550k (6.1% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $550k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#450 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Haverstraw-Stony Point CSD (North Rockland) (suburban): math 41% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #427 of 590 in NY (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Stony Point Elementary School (math 42% / reading 52%, grade D-, #1,195 of 2,108 statewide, top 60%, 725 students, 17% FRL); Fieldstone Middle School (math 18% / reading 46%, grade F, #511 of 729 statewide, top 71%, 1,247 students, 0% FRL); North Rockland High School (math 86% / reading 67%, grade A-, #612 of 1,100 statewide, top 56%, 2,687 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 6% FRL vs 40% district-wide (35 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 89 active listings in the ZIP; 429 units permitted in Rockland County in 2024 (231 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rockland County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $328k; list at $585k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.6% in Stony Point — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R51J6HDNHB8SE5
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29