2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 1983
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,725/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$996
Tax + insurance
−$268
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$362
Net cashflow
$99/mo
Annual
$1,184/yr
Cap rate
6.92%
Cash-on-cash
2.23%
DSCR
1.10
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$53,172
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (9.1% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $173k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (6.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#297 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Fort Madison Community School District (town): math 55% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #260 of 289 in IA (top 90%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lee County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (6.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R6JXD11FJABC48
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29