6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,618 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 6 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,862/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$666
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,021
Net cashflow
$1,471/mo
Annual
$17,650/yr
Cap rate
11.93%
Cash-on-cash
20.13%
DSCR
1.90
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $490/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $325k).
Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#21 in CT, #1,585 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F.
Bristol School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #109 of 153 in CT (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
11 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $153k; list at $325k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 3.3% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,862/mo this rent would consume 74% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 2172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29