3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Manufactured
· Under Contract
· 47 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,197/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$200
HOA
−$855
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$461
Net cashflow
$52/mo
Annual
$619/yr
Cap rate
6.81%
Cash-on-cash
1.84%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
1.83%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $120k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $52 ($619/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#9 in UT, #356 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+.
Alpine District (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #25 of 80 in UT (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Shelley School (math 62% / reading 62%, grade B, #39 of 585 statewide, top 8%, 814 students, 17% FRL); American Fork Jr High (math 43% / reading 47%, grade D, #43 of 138 statewide, top 33%, 1,894 students, 19% FRL); American Fork High (math 30% / reading 49%, grade F, #65 of 171 statewide, top 39%, 2,412 students, 13% FRL) — zoned schools at 16% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 39% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 416 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 6,326 units permitted in Utah County in 2024 (1,053 in 5+ unit buildings).
Utah County population projected at +49% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R71SAR8XBC0WZT
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29