1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
800 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 125 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$818/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$157
Tax + insurance
−$50
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$172
Net cashflow
$439/mo
Annual
$5,268/yr
Cap rate
23.85%
Cash-on-cash
62.71%
DSCR
3.79
1% rule
2.73%
Cash to close
$8,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($818 rent vs $30k).
It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $900 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Grants-Cibola County Schools (town): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #74 of 95 in NM (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP.
Cibola County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— Significant damage
Major: flooring
— Worn carpet
Major: interior walls/paint
— Worn paint
Major: bathrooms
— Old fixtures, dated design
Major: kitchen
— Old cabinets, dated design
CashFlowRE · CFR-R72YJ53ZWP8KC6
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29