3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,423 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 25 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,230/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$676
Tax + insurance
−$88
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$258
Net cashflow
$207/mo
Annual
$2,486/yr
Cap rate
8.22%
Cash-on-cash
6.88%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$36,120
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $129k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (4.7% below list).
It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (4.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($892 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#102 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Oak Grove (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #95 of 513 in OK (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 182 units permitted in Payne County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Payne County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (1.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R7DC263M64C1NB
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29