7 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,982 sqft ·
Built 1880
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 520 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,951/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$886
Tax + insurance
−$186
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$410
Net cashflow
$469/mo
Annual
$5,630/yr
Cap rate
9.62%
Cash-on-cash
11.90%
DSCR
1.53
1% rule
1.15%
Cash to close
$47,320
Investor read
This is a 7-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $169k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $469 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
It's been on market 520 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $149k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$46k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 7.7% in Utica — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 520 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R878PE3J5BFBS2
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29