2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
942 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$876/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$576
Tax + insurance
−$105
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$10/mo
Annual
$126/yr
Cap rate
6.41%
Cash-on-cash
0.41%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$30,772
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($126/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (20.3% below list).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (20.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#501 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Edinburg CUSD 4 (rural): math 10% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #810 of 919 in IL (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Edinburg Elem School (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #1,741 of 2,056 statewide, top 93%, 109 students, 0% FRL); Edinburg Jr High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #583 of 665 statewide, top 89%, 58 students, 0% FRL); Edinburg High School (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #357 of 693 statewide, top 54%, 77 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 28% district-wide (28 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Christian County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $110k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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