5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,352 sqft ·
Built 2013
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 76 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,632/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,851
Tax + insurance
−$1,507
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,393
Net cashflow
$-1,118/mo
Annual
$-13,420/yr
Cap rate
4.84%
Cash-on-cash
-5.18%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.72%
Cash to close
$259,000
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $925k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-13k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $727k (21.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $663k (28.3% below list).
It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($870k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $663k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $28k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#22 in OR, #506 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Beaverton SD 48J (urban): math 68% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #3 of 58 in OR (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 622 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $776k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 4.8% vs local median 2.4% in Cedar Mill — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,632/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($162k/yr) (locally 1769% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-R9XMMX3W0G3HWR
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29