5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,764 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 61 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,495/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,835
Tax + insurance
−$654
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$524
Net cashflow
$-517/mo
Annual
$-6,210/yr
Cap rate
4.52%
Cash-on-cash
-6.34%
DSCR
0.72
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$97,972
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-517 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (26.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (28.7% below list).
It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($329k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $250k (28.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#86 in MN, #1,971 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
New Prague Area Schools (town): math 57% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #36 of 301 in MN (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Falcon Ridge (math 61% / reading 59%, grade B-, #209 of 857 statewide, top 25%, 554 students, 21% FRL); New Prague Middle School (math 54% / reading 59%, grade B, #38 of 258 statewide, top 15%, 937 students, 19% FRL); New Prague Senior High (math 55% / reading 68%, grade B-, #39 of 471 statewide, top 9%, 1,343 students, 16% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 95 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 699 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (84 in 5+ unit buildings).
Scott County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
9 sale attempts since 34y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $44k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $221k; list at $350k implies a 58% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 4.5% vs local median 3.1% in New Prague — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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