2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,564 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 180 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,111/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$293
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$233
Net cashflow
$-202/mo
Annual
$-2,421/yr
Cap rate
4.68%
Cash-on-cash
-5.77%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-202 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (23.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (25.9% below list).
It's been on market 180 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (25.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (9.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#928 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, crime F.
Brushton-Moira Central School District (rural): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #503 of 590 in NY (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Brushton Grade School (math 37% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,361 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 457 students, 60% FRL); Brushton-Moira High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,032 of 1,100 statewide, top 95%, 328 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 45% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 124 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Franklin County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $92k; list at $150k implies a 63% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 180 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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