2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Manufactured
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$905/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$252
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$190
Net cashflow
$365/mo
Annual
$4,385/yr
Cap rate
15.43%
Cash-on-cash
32.63%
DSCR
2.45
1% rule
1.89%
Cash to close
$13,440
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $48k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $365 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($905 rent vs $48k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $47k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#819 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, crime B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Hooks ISD (town): math 46% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #226 of 826 in TX (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RBA5205QB0GM00
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29