3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,022 sqft ·
Built 1918
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$587
Tax + insurance
−$120
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$200
Net cashflow
$43/mo
Annual
$517/yr
Cap rate
6.75%
Cash-on-cash
1.65%
DSCR
1.07
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$31,360
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($517/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (15.2% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $95k (15.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $774 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#300 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
Rutherford County Schools (rural): math 43% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #98 of 178 in NC (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Chase High School (math 67% / reading 47%, grade C, #248 of 535 statewide, top 48%, 660 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 60% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 57% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Rutherford County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 193 units permitted in Rutherford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rutherford County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.3% in Forest City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RBBXH86SE948R9
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29