4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,184 sqft ·
Built 1940
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,362/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,935
Tax + insurance
−$850
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$706
Net cashflow
$-129/mo
Annual
$-1,543/yr
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.49%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$103,320
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $369k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-129 ($-2k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-64/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $346k (6.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $336k (8.9% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($358k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $336k (8.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#32 in CT, #2,205 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D, employment D.
Waterbury School District (suburban): math 12% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #148 of 153 in CT (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 83% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $154k; list at $369k implies a 140% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.6% in Waterbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,362/mo this rent would consume 77% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 801% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-RBBYZ83TBR57RM
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29