431 S Shady Ave

Corry, PA 16407

$88,000B

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · Built 1920 · SingleFamily · Pending · 3 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $964/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$461
• Tax + insurance: −$138
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$203
• Net cashflow: $162/mo
• Annual: $1,946/yr
• Cap rate: 8.50%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.90%
• DSCR: 1.35
• 1% rule: 1.10%
• Cash to close: $24,640

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $162 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($964 rent vs $88k).
• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• In year one you build about $9k of equity ($608 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#573 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D+, commute F, employment F.
• Corry Area SD (town): math 33% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #332 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Current owner paid $30k; list at $88k implies a 193% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.0% in Corry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.