2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
918 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$876/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$52
Tax + insurance
−$17
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$184
Net cashflow
$623/mo
Annual
$7,477/yr
Cap rate
81.07%
Cash-on-cash
267.05%
DSCR
12.88
1% rule
8.76%
Cash to close
$2,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $10k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $623 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($876 rent vs $10k).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $10k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $607 of equity ($69 loan paydown + $538 appreciation (5.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#106 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Chaparral Schools (rural): math 29% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #110 of 169 in KS (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Harper Elem (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #321 of 684 statewide, top 52%, 251 students, 67% FRL); Chaparral Jr/Sr High (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 327 statewide, top 84%, 350 students, 64% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Harper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harper County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $6k; list at $10k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RBVW5M00NG4789
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29