1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
900 sqft ·
Built 1900
· Condo
· Active
· 59 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,616/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$489
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$549
Net cashflow
$214/mo
Annual
$2,570/yr
Cap rate
7.54%
Cash-on-cash
4.45%
DSCR
1.20
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$72,799
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($252k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $252k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#27 in NY, #480 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Pelham Union Free School District (suburban): math 80% / reading 81% proficiency, ranked #29 of 590 in NY (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Colonial School (math 82% / reading 87%, grade A+, #93 of 2,108 statewide, top 6%, 276 students, 0% FRL); Pelham Middle School (math 72% / reading 82%, grade A, #41 of 729 statewide, top 6%, 649 students, 0% FRL); Pelham Memorial High School (math 96% / reading 77%, grade A, #336 of 1,100 statewide, top 31%, 875 students, 14% FRL) — zoned schools at 5% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 39 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $200k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 0.4% in Pelham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($215k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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