4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,201 sqft ·
Built 1987
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,950/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$692
Tax + insurance
−$121
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$410
Net cashflow
$728/mo
Annual
$8,733/yr
Cap rate
12.91%
Cash-on-cash
23.63%
DSCR
2.05
1% rule
1.48%
Cash to close
$36,960
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $132k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $728 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $132k).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $913 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#32 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Morgan County (rural): math 19% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 129 in AL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Falkville Elementary School (math 17% / reading 47%, grade F, #331 of 627 statewide, top 57%, 332 students, 68% FRL); Falkville High School (math 11% / reading 29%, grade F, #163 of 305 statewide, top 54%, 411 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 44% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 4.0% in Hartselle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RD47X1664XY0MQ
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29