1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
576 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$780/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$419
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$164
Net cashflow
$64/mo
Annual
$772/yr
Cap rate
7.26%
Cash-on-cash
3.45%
DSCR
1.15
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$22,372
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($772/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $78k (2.3% below list).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($552 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,174 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Noble Local (rural): math 53% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #371 of 656 in OH (top 57%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Shenandoah Elementary School (math 59% / reading 58%, grade B-, #708 of 1,584 statewide, top 45%, 712 students, 42% FRL); Shenandoah High School (math 22% / reading 57%, grade F, #528 of 781 statewide, top 71%, 261 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 41% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Noble County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Noble County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Slight wear, could be refinished.
Minor: Paint
— Some wear on walls, could be refreshed.
Minor: Landscaping
— Overgrown areas, could be trimmed and mulched.
Minor: Windows
— Some wear, could be replaced or cleaned.
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Visible wear, could be repainted or replaced.
Moderate: Kitchen appliances
— Dated, could be replaced with modern models.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RD6D9D31YQ3VWR
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29