3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 1943
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,215/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$255
Net cashflow
$476/mo
Annual
$5,718/yr
Cap rate
14.46%
Cash-on-cash
29.17%
DSCR
2.30
1% rule
1.74%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $476 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 51/100 on livability (#651 in OK) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Pawnee (rural): math 16% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #176 of 270 in OK (top 65%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pawnee Es (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #413 of 845 statewide, top 54%, 309 students, 0% FRL); Pawnee Ms (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #226 of 345 statewide, top 67%, 143 students, 0% FRL); Pawnee Hs (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #96 of 447 statewide, top 26%, 181 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 68% district-wide (68 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 5 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Pawnee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pawnee County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $56k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen appliances
— outdated and in poor condition
Major: bathroom fixtures
— outdated and in poor condition
Major: flooring
— worn and in poor condition
Major: interior walls/paint
— peeling and in poor condition
Major: roof
— visible wear
Major: exterior/siding
— cluttered and worn
CashFlowRE · CFR-RDHZ1J1GQ0EFXE
· Data 19 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29