6 bd · 4.0 ba ·
2,460 sqft ·
Built 2025
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 19 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,308/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,879
Tax + insurance
−$915
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,115
Net cashflow
$399/mo
Annual
$4,792/yr
Cap rate
7.17%
Cash-on-cash
3.12%
DSCR
1.14
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$153,720
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $549k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $200/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $531k (3.3% below list).
It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($541k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $531k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 254 active listings in the ZIP; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At $5,308/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 2046% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RDNJC6FXGZHANV
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29