3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
970 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 10 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,323/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,294
Tax + insurance
−$729
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$488
Net cashflow
$-1,188/mo
Annual
$-14,259/yr
Cap rate
3.03%
Cash-on-cash
-11.64%
DSCR
0.48
1% rule
0.53%
Cash to close
$122,492
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $1.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-14k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $1).
Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#4 in AZ, #1,756 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety C-, cost of living F.
Scottsdale Unified District (4240) (urban): math 53% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #30 of 249 in AZ (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Pima Elementary School (math 47% / reading 42%, grade F, #339 of 1,109 statewide, top 32%, 389 students, 45% FRL); Tonalea Middle School (math 16% / reading 32%, grade F, #109 of 218 statewide, top 51%, 442 students, 77% FRL); Coronado High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #343 of 381 statewide, top 93%, 740 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 21% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 54% district-wide (-28 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Scottsdale Unified District (4240) average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: property tax is 656205.0% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 262 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
15 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($87k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RDQJ5233XDEQGP
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29