3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,534 sqft ·
Built 2003
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,622/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,831
Tax + insurance
−$763
HOA
−$4
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,181
Net cashflow
$843/mo
Annual
$10,119/yr
Cap rate
8.31%
Cash-on-cash
7.22%
DSCR
1.32
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$151,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $540k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $843 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $540k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($524k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $524k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $16k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Gemini Elementary School (math 80% / reading 79%, grade A, #116 of 2,144 statewide, top 6%, 468 students, 20% FRL); Herbert C. Hoover Middle School (math 67% / reading 64%, grade A-, #95 of 571 statewide, top 17%, 506 students, 38% FRL); Melbourne Senior High School (math 43% / reading 57%, grade D+, #175 of 667 statewide, top 27%, 2,249 students, 31% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
11 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $196k; list at $540k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $5,622/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($98k/yr) (locally 196% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-RDTM096H1YWA9J
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29