1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
252 sqft ·
Built 1986
· Manufactured
· Active
· 96 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$981/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$171
HOA
−$166
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$206
Net cashflow
$-29/mo
Annual
$-346/yr
Cap rate
6.80%
Cash-on-cash
1.81%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29 ($-346/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $84k (5.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($981 rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#101 in FL, #1,528 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D, amenities F.
Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: William H. Bashaw Elementary (math 51% / reading 44%, grade D, #1,182 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 684 students, 69% FRL); Braden River Middle School (math 54% / reading 47%, grade C, #246 of 571 statewide, top 44%, 810 students, 58% FRL); Braden River High School (math 44% / reading 52%, grade D, #201 of 667 statewide, top 30%, 1,774 students, 45% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-5.4%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $89k implies a 748% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.6% in Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-RDV8ZGEHJ3WQ1K
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29