1021-1023 Joseph St

Baldwin, PA 15227

$230,000B-

6 bd · 5.0 ba · — sqft · Built 1890 · MultiFamily · Active · 26 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,895/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,206
• Tax + insurance: −$439
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$608
• Net cashflow: $642/mo
• Annual: $7,704/yr
• Cap rate: 9.93%
• Cash-on-cash: 13.00%
• DSCR: 1.58
• 1% rule: 1.26%
• Cash to close: $64,400

Investor read

• This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.5-bath units multifamily listed at $230k. Condition is rated average.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $642 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $321/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $230k).
• It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($227k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $227k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#189 in PA, #1,596 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A; Watch: commute F.
• Baldwin-Whitehall SD (suburban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #246 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: J.E. Harrison Education Ctr (math 26% / reading 57%, grade F, #927 of 1,518 statewide, top 61%, 1,143 students, 58% FRL); Baldwin Shs (math 32% / reading 53%, grade F, #226 of 437 statewide, top 52%, 2,086 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 32% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 3.4% in Baldwin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $2,895/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 780% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Minor: kitchen cabinets — existing cabinets show some wear
• Minor: bathroom fixtures — existing fixtures show some wear
• Minor: exterior siding — existing siding shows some wear
• Minor: interior walls/paint — existing paint shows some wear
• Minor: HVAC system — existing system shows some wear